Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.355620 0.385226 0.417058 0.453985 0.495839 0.542038 0.597212
2025-11-16 0.300690 0.341112 0.387656 0.445857 0.517611 0.604448 0.719511
2025-11-23 0.268081 0.313334 0.367850 0.439610 0.533555 0.655348 0.830550
2025-11-30 0.250625 0.300131 0.362030 0.447139 0.564573 0.726657 0.978828
2025-12-07 0.233469 0.284864 0.351018 0.445191 0.580855 0.778300 1.107525
2025-12-14 0.219344 0.271885 0.341206 0.442908 0.595132 0.827682 1.241826
2025-12-21 0.204584 0.256706 0.326812 0.432153 0.594773 0.853386 1.340708
2025-12-28 0.198515 0.252686 0.327227 0.442492 0.627296 0.936380 1.563278
2026-01-04 0.191812 0.247189 0.324911 0.448176 0.652655 1.010962 1.791083
2026-01-11 0.184371 0.240085 0.319601 0.448485 0.668749 1.071188 2.007216
2026-01-18 0.175405 0.230219 0.309460 0.440071 0.668554 1.100192 2.160506
2026-01-25 0.166510 0.219970 0.298075 0.428628 0.661552 1.114387 2.281806
2026-02-01 0.158779 0.211258 0.288826 0.420512 0.660712 1.143251 2.459963
2026-02-08 0.151912 0.203534 0.280714 0.413773 0.661921 1.177393 2.670868
2026-02-15 0.145877 0.196751 0.273648 0.408204 0.664641 1.215374 2.912588
2026-02-22 0.142980 0.194563 0.273689 0.414967 0.692370 1.316733 3.423439
2026-03-01 0.138537 0.189763 0.269206 0.413219 0.702510 1.377916 3.832235
2026-03-08 0.134352 0.185163 0.264773 0.411169 0.711711 1.438858 4.287695
2026-03-15 0.128994 0.178493 0.256569 0.401506 0.703397 1.451668 4.542328
2026-03-22 0.127523 0.177886 0.258410 0.410796 0.737831 1.590713 5.548970
2026-03-29 0.125369 0.176079 0.258099 0.415899 0.763496 1.712232 6.633164
2026-04-05 0.122509 0.173005 0.255439 0.416176 0.777907 1.803741 7.678827
2026-04-12 0.118512 0.167929 0.249070 0.408621 0.772584 1.830510 8.308163